During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation

New York Session

During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation-related release from Germany and more PMI from the USA:

1. German CPI (MoM) (Dec) | Germany
2. Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States
3. ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec) | United States
4. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States

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‪#‎Crude_Oil‬ Tuesday :The week’s first oil-related macroeconomic release is:

‪#‎API‬ Weekly ‪#‎Crude_Oil_Stock‬
The American Petroleum Institute (API) reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks on a weekly basis. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. Higher stock implies weaker demand or oversupply and it is bearish for crude prices, while lower stock implies higher demand and it is bullish for oil prices. While it is nearly impossible to predict the actual reading of the release, the event can be used for the timing component of a trading strategy for the instrument.
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U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.

• U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.
• Saudi’s Aramco offers further discounts to Asia & the US
• USD: US Non-manufacturing PMI expected to slip – TDS
• EURUSD upside potential capped – Rabobank
• UK's Osborne says there a lot of risks in world economy

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Oil Falls 1% as Demand Doubts Rise -
Oil prices fell around 1 percent on Friday, heading for a weekly decline, as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data weighed on the energy demand outlook and Hurricane Joaquin veered away from oil installations in the U.S. East Coast.

Gold Rises After NFP Stumble and Palladium Surge : 
Gold held the biggest advance in almost nine months after figures showed that U.S. payrolls rose less than expected and wages stagnated, reducing the possibility of an interest rate increase this year.


Trade Setups in USD-pairs around September US NFPs -
Talking Points: ST EURUSD triangle begins to break lower; $1.1085 critical support. USDJPY remains rangebound, although NFPs could change that. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, October 1, 2015.

Five Points which can drive markets early this week

The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew

1. Yen strength
2. GBP strength
3. Oil weakness
4. Bonds bid
5. China worries, China stimulus

The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew:
1. Yen strength
This is all about negative sentiment in stocks. USD/JPY is down 27 pips. The Nikkei finished the morning session down 1.14%, Shanghai stocks are down 0.54% and S&P 500 futures are down 0.4%. Earlier I wrote about why stock markets could fall early this week.

2. GBP strength
The pound is keeping pace with the yen, up about 20 pips. But let's put that into perspective; since the high on September 18, cable has been in a 6 day, nearly 500 pips swoon. A 20 pip bounce doesn't even qualify as a dead cat bounce. I highlighted some levels earlier.

3. Oil weakness
All else being equal, sell oil. Crude is down about 1%. Rig count numbers on Friday were bullish but a small bounce was wiped out quickly. Earlier last week, inventory numbers were bullish but a bounce was wiped out within hours and oil finished way down. At some point this year, oil storage capacity will max out and it will be dumped onto the market at any price.

4. Bonds bid
Bonds are catching a small bid, pushing 10-year US yields down 2 bps in early trading. There was talk of a China bid but it's also part of the risk aversion theme.

5. China worries, China stimulus
Two stories out of China early this week. The first is a plunge in industrial profits (negative) but the second is about fresh stimulus (potentially very positive). The second story hasn't gotten much traction yet but I think it could.


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Global stocks mostly lower. Investors await Yellen's speech for fresh clues on the Fed’s plan to raise rates

Stocks pared morning losses, but still ended moderately lower ahead of Yellen's speech:

U.S. stocks dropped but pared their steepest intraday declines, as worries over slowing global growth lingered.

Dollardips before Yellenspeech-Thursday's markets news so far

Dow futures were briefly down more than 150 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also traded lower.

Treasury yields held lower, with the 2-year yield at 0.68 percent and the 10-year yield at 2.10 percent.
The U.S. dollar traded lower against major world currencies, with the euro at $1.125 and the yen at 119.4 yen against the greenback.

Stocks remain stuck in low gear following a late-August selloff, and last week’s decision by the Federal Reserve to keep rates near zero affirmed investors’ fears that growth had hit a rough patch.

The S&P 500 lost 6.52, or 0.3%, to 1932.24, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 18.27, or 0.4%, to 4734.48.

Bond prices rose, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note falling to 2.125% from 2.144% Wednesday.

U.S. stocks have generated wide swings in recent sessions since a late-August slide sent major indexes into “correction” territory, which is marked by a decline of 10% or more from a recent peak.

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USDCHF Is Bullish |Free Forex Signals | USDCHF Chart Today

SUMMARY :- 

The major trend of USDCHF is bullish on charts but from the past few trading sessions, prices are not sustaining at higher levels & looking weak for the upcoming sessions. The pair is consolidating with strong negative bias to give a breakout at downside. It is facing resistance of 30 DMA.  Prices are also taking support at the important level of 0.9750. Today if the pair breaks its support level & manages to sustain below it, then it can test its 200 DMA and come till the levels of  0.9700/0.9660 in today's session.

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USDCHF ( Hourly ) :

USDCHF Chart Today

INDICATORS:-

MACD line is also sustaining in selling territory, indicating the bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY :- 

USDCHF is looking further bearish on charts. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

PIVOT POINTS :

	S3	S2	S1	PIVOT	R1	R2	R3
EUR/USD	1.0419	1.0469	1.0519	1.0569	1.0619	1.0669	1.0719
GBP/USD	1.4473	1.4518	1.4597	1.4642	1.4721	1.4766	1.4845
USD/JPY	118.48	119.11	119.62	120.25	120.76	121.39	121.90
USD/CHF	0.9622	0.9687	0.9734	0.9799	0.9846	0.9911	0.9958
AUD/USD	0.7404	0.7477	0.7533	0.7606	0.7662	0.7735	0.7791
EUR/GBP	0.7092	0.7143	0.7172	0.7223	0.7252	0.7303	0.7332
USD/CAD	1.2458	1.2506	1.2551	1.2599	1.2644	1.2692	1.2737
NZD/USD	0.7284	0.7352	0.7403	0.7471	0.7522	0.7590	0.7641

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EURUSD Is Bearish | Free Forex Signals | EURUSD Chart Today

SUMMARY:

The primary trend of EUR/USD is bearish. In its hourly chart, prices are consolidating with strong negative bias. 30 & 200 DMA are also providing resistance to the prices & supporting the further downtrend. If it breaks the level of 1.0570 & sustains below it we can expect it to come down to the levels of 1.0500/1.0460  in next few days.

RECOMMENDATION : SELL 

TARGET 1.0460

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EUR/USD ( HOURLY ) :

EURUSD CHARTS

INDICATORS:-

RSI is sustaining near in selling territory, supporting the upcoming down trend in the pair.

In MACD

Prices are sustaining below the zero line ,supporting the down side movement in the market

STRATEGY:- 

EUR/USD is looking bearish on charts for next few session. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

WEEKLY LEVELS :

	S2	S1	R1	R2
EUR/USD	1.0266	1.0435	1.0905	1.1206
GBP/USD	1.4335	1.4483	1.4881	1.5131
USD/JPY	117.93	119.07	121.05	121.89
USD/CHF	0.9362	0.9577	0.9923	1.0054
AUD/USD	0.7496	0.7590	0.7762	0.7840
EUR/GBP	0.7124	0.7186	0.7345	0.7442
USD/CAD	1.2253	1.2407	1.2692	1.2823
NZD/USD	0.7405	0.7471	0.7613	0.7689

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$GBPJPY Looking Bearish On Charts For Next Few Sessions

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SUMMARY:

The major trend of GBP/JPY is bearish. In its 4 hourly chart, prices are consolidating with strong negative bias to give break out at downside. 30 and 200 DMA are also supporting the downside movement in the prices. The pair is having an important support at the level of 177.05. If it breaks its major support mark of 177 and sustains below it then we can expect it to test the levels of 176.20/175.80.

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GBP/JPY ( 4 Hourly ) :

INDICATORS:

RSI is sustaining near the selling territory supporting further bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY: 

GBP/JPY looking bearish on charts for next few session. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

PIVOT POINTS:

	S3	S2	S1	PIVOT	R1	R2	R3
EUR/USD	1.0448	1.0542	1.0601	1.0695	1.0754	1.0848	1.0907
GBP/USD	1.4426	1.4553	1.4634	1.4761	1.4842	1.4969	1.5050
USD/JPY	119.09	119.46	120.02	120.39	120.95	121.32	121.88
USD/CHF	0.9557	0.9607	0.9691	0.9741	0.9825	0.9875	0.9959
AUD/USD	0.7568	0.7612	0.7652	0.7696	0.7736	0.7780	0.7820
EUR/GBP	0.7178	0.7205	0.7224	0.7251	0.7270	0.7297	0.7316
USD/CAD	1.2405	1.2454	1.2517	1.2566	1.2629	1.2678	1.2741
NZD/USD	0.7440	0.7482	0.7525	0.7567	0.7610	0.7652	0.7695

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10 Common Trading Mistakes Traders Often Make

These are ten common trading mistakes that are often made by traders. Take a look and find out the mistakes to avoid in your trading strategies:

Know When To Cut Your Losses:

If you see that your trade is in a losing position, minimize your losses, close your trade and focus on the next winning opportunity.

Forgetting To Place Your Stop Loss Order:

Remember to put in your Stop Loss order so your losing trades get stopped out before you make any big losses.

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Remember To Use Trading Signals:

Many traders forget to use Trading Signals, providing expert insight in to the markets and helping you make good trading decisions.

Don’t Forget To Protect Your Winning Positions:

Keep an eye on your winning trades and move your Stop Loss towards your entry point to safeguard your investment. Keep it moving it in the direction of the trend.

Don’t Invest More Than You Can Afford To Lose:

Even if your trading strategy is working for you, remember not to invest more money than you can afford to lose.

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Taking Too Big A Risk, With Too Little Profit:

By monitoring the risk-profit ratio in your trades, your successful trades will bring bigger profits and unsuccessful trades won’t damage your account too much.

Picking The Highs And Lows Of Trades:

Many new traders try to predict where a currency pair will reverse direction. Remember you’ll never know the tops and bottoms of trading positions in advance.

Not Checking Support And Resistance Levels:

Remember to check the support and resistance level of a position when you place a Stop Loss or Take Profit order. Never place them at the exact rate of the support or resistance levels.

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Trade With, Not Against, A Moving Trend:

As a trend gains momentum it often strengthens as traders join the trend, so trade on the right side of the momentum.

Focusing On One Side Of A Currency Pair:

Become familiar with both the currencies in a pair and how they influence each other, not just one of them.

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$GBPUSD Is In Sideways Trend

SUMMARY : 

GBP/AUD is trading in sideways trend and from the past few trading sessions, prices are not sustaining at higher levels & looking weak for the upcoming sessions. The pair is consolidating with strong negative bias to give a breakout at downside. It is facing resistance of 30 and 200 DMA.  Prices are also taking support at the important level of 1.9320. Today if the pair breaks its support level & manages to sustain below it, then we can expect it to test the level of  1.9250/1.9210 in today's session.

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GBP/AUD ( Hourly ) :

CHARTS

INDICATORS:

MACD line is also sustaining in the selling territory, indicating the bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY : 

GBP/AUD is looking further bearish on charts. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

PIVOT POINTS :

	S3	S2	S1	PIVOT	R1	R2	R3
EUR/USD	1.0604	1.0703	1.0759	1.0858	1.0914	1.1013	1.1069
GBP/USD	1.4640	1.4719	1.4764	1.4843	1.4888	1.4967	1.5012
USD/JPY	118.61	119.01	119.65	120.05	120.69	121.09	121.73
USD/CHF	0.9465	0.9509	0.9585	0.9629	0.9705	0.9749	0.9825
AUD/USD	0.7430	0.7502	0.7568	0.7640	0.7706	0.7778	0.7844
EUR/GBP	0.7203	0.7242	0.7273	0.7312	0.7343	0.7382	0.7413
USD/CAD	1.2391	1.2421	1.2464	1.2494	1.2537	1.2567	1.2610
NZD/USD	0.7384	0.7433	0.7463	0.7512	0.7542	0.7591	0.7621

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$EURGBP Is Bullish On Charts

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SUMMARY : 
The primary trend of EUR/GBP is bullish but from the past few trading sessions, prices are no more sustaining at higher levels & looking weak for the upcoming sessions. The pair is taking support of rising trend line and consolidating with strong negative bias to give a breakout at downside. Prices are also taking support at the important level of 0.7330. Today if the pair breaks its support level & managed to sustain below it, then we can expect it to test the level of  0.7280/0.7240 in today's session.

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EUR/GBP ( Hourly )

CHARTS

INDICATORS:
MACD line is also sustaining below the zero line, indicating the bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY : 
EUR/GBP  is looking further bearish on charts. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.


PIVOT POINTS :

	S3	S2	S1	PIVOT	R1	R2	R3
EUR/USD	1.0747	1.0828	1.0876	1.0957	1.1005	1.1086	1.1134
GBP/USD	1.4721	1.4794	1.4837	1.4910	1.4953	1.5026	1.5069
USD/JPY	118.05	118.41	118.97	119.33	119.89	120.25	120.81
USD/CHF	0.9403	0.9448	0.9517	0.9562	0.9631	0.9676	0.9745
AUD/USD	0.7463	0.7520	0.7555	0.7612	0.7647	0.7704	0.7739
EUR/GBP	0.7271	0.7301	0.7321	0.7351	0.7371	0.7401	0.7421
USD/CAD	1.2365	1.2399	1.2439	1.2473	1.2513	1.2547	1.2587
NZD/USD	0.7385	0.7449	0.7495	0.7559	0.7605	0.7669	0.7715

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