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Showing posts with label FOREX market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FOREX market. Show all posts

Friday 3 June 2016

Forex Trading is Halal or Haram In Islam?

I am traveling to Middle East and South –East Asia in the upcoming weeks where the population is largely Muslim and before my trip all my soon to be trainees  are asking “Forex is Halal or Haram?” It's my Personal opinion, I am sorry if anyone hurts with it.
I believe that " Selling currencies is usually done without the hand to hand exchange which makes them permissible according to sharee’ah."
Forex is Halal if you are not gambling and have your end goals clearly distinguished.
1- As a Forex trader you need to have a reason to take that action (sell or buy)
2- Not gamble on the trend direction but analyze the market
3- Not trade for the sake of excitement but trade for the potential income and to make a living
4- Not to approach it as a game but as a job
5- Have a mindset to win or to protect your equity rather than telling yourself “if I win I win, if not next time”
6- You learn from your losses and move on with the decision taken by yourself rather than blaming the market or blaming the situation.
It's a bit blurry so to say. 
But if you're honest to yourself, you know whether you're trading or gambling.
Join here :  Forex trading

Tuesday 2 February 2016

H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair , showing a nice falling wedge formation:

What is happening with the Loonie exchange rate? This is what we are going to tell you now! Below you will find the H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair, showing a nice falling wedge formation:



    

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As you see, in Friday the USD/CAD price broke the blue falling wedge formation in bullish direction. The breakout is visualized with the red circle on the image. Now the Loonie is probably facing a new bullish attitude.
Since we have a falling wedge chart pattern during a bearish trend, we expect an increase of the price equal to the size of the formation. This is shown with the black arrows on the image above.
The USD/CAD Forex exchange rate is currently situated around 1.4053 CAD for one USD. If the Price starts a movement after the falling wedge chart figure, we might see the price reaching  a weekly high around 1.4216.
Maybe it is time to start thinking long now?

Wednesday 16 December 2015

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Monday 5 October 2015

U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.



  • U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.
  • Saudi’s Aramco offers further discounts to Asia & the US
  • USD: US Non-manufacturing PMI expected to slip – TDS
  • EURUSD upside potential capped – Rabobank
  • UK's Osborne says there a lot of risks in world economy





Oil Falls 1% as Demand Doubts Rise -
Oil prices fell around 1 percent on Friday, heading for a weekly decline, as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data weighed on the energy demand outlook and Hurricane Joaquin veered away from oil installations in the U.S. East Coast.

Gold Rises After NFP Stumble and Palladium Surge : 
Gold held the biggest advance in almost nine months after figures showed that U.S. payrolls rose less than expected and wages stagnated, reducing the possibility of an interest rate increase this year.


Trade Setups in USD-pairs around September US NFPs -
Talking Points: ST EURUSD triangle begins to break lower; $1.1085 critical support. USDJPY remains rangebound, although NFPs could change that. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, October 1, 2015.

Monday 28 September 2015

Five Points which can drive markets early this week



The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew

1. Yen strength
2. GBP strength
3. Oil weakness
4. Bonds bid
5. China worries, China stimulus


The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew:
1. Yen strength
This is all about negative sentiment in stocks. USD/JPY is down 27 pips. The Nikkei finished the morning session down 1.14%, Shanghai stocks are down 0.54% and S&P 500 futures are down 0.4%. Earlier I wrote about why stock markets could fall early this week.

2. GBP strength
The pound is keeping pace with the yen, up about 20 pips. But let's put that into perspective; since the high on September 18, cable has been in a 6 day, nearly 500 pips swoon. A 20 pip bounce doesn't even qualify as a dead cat bounce. I highlighted some levels earlier.

3. Oil weakness
All else being equal, sell oil. Crude is down about 1%. Rig count numbers on Friday were bullish but a small bounce was wiped out quickly. Earlier last week, inventory numbers were bullish but a bounce was wiped out within hours and oil finished way down. At some point this year, oil storage capacity will max out and it will be dumped onto the market at any price.

4. Bonds bid
Bonds are catching a small bid, pushing 10-year US yields down 2 bps in early trading. There was talk of a China bid but it's also part of the risk aversion theme.

5. China worries, China stimulus
Two stories out of China early this week. The first is a plunge in industrial profits (negative) but the second is about fresh stimulus (potentially very positive). The second story hasn't gotten much traction yet but I think it could.


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FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of this week's payrolls, China survey




  • USDJPY 120.32 with a general USD+ sentiment so far as Europe gets underway.
  • USD/JPY is poised for a big break USD/JPY finished last week strong with a 75 pip rally in the final six hours of trading.
  • European Factors to Watch-Futures fall, Spain in focus after Catalan result.
  • FOREX-Dollar edges lower ahead of this week's payrolls, China survey
  • EM ASIA FX-Baht, peso edge higher; ringgit slips
  • Oil prices fall on slowing global economic growth outlook
  • Japan leading index CI July final 105.0 vs 104.9 prev
  • Option expiries 10am NY cut today 28 Sept
  • Report: China expected to unveil new growth measures. More rate cuts coming
  • Chinese August industrial profits -8.8% y/y vs -2.9% prior
  • Eurostoxx 50 futures down 1.2% in early European trading
  • Softer sentiment as Europe gets underway
DAX futures -1.2%
CAC40 -1.0%
FTSE -0.7%
Bund futures up 28 at 155.71
Nikkei 225 closes down -1.32% at 17,645.11
  • A steady session after early dip
-235.40
open 17811.12
high 17886.49
low 17562.80
USDJPY 120.26
Australia's S&P/ASX200 closes up +1.24% at 5104.60
  • Switzerland opens investigation of precious metals manipulation
-those banks include UBS, Deutsche, Julius Baer, HSBC, Barclays, Morgan Stanley, Mitsui
suspicion relates to possible co-ordination of prices, namely bid/ask spreads
expects resolution in probe some time in 2016/2017
  • Mr Yawnfest speaking in Osaka and delivering the same old drivel price trend is improving
  1. will adjust policy if there are changes in price trend
  2. sees reaching 2% price target in around H1 2016
  3. further momentum needed to achieve 2% target
  4. BOJ easing is exerting intended effect
  5. rehang 2% target could come earlier or later depending on oil price

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Thursday 24 September 2015

Global stocks mostly lower. Investors await Yellen's speech for fresh clues on the Fed’s plan to raise rates


Stocks pared morning losses, but still ended moderately lower ahead of Yellen's speech:



U.S. stocks dropped but pared their steepest intraday declines, as worries over slowing global growth lingered.
Dow futures were briefly down more than 150 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also traded lower.
Treasury yields held lower, with the 2-year yield at 0.68 percent and the 10-year yield at 2.10 percent.
The U.S. dollar traded lower against major world currencies, with the euro at $1.125 and the yen at 119.4 yen against the greenback.




Stocks remain stuck in low gear following a late-August selloff, and last week’s decision by the Federal Reserve to keep rates near zero affirmed investors’ fears that growth had hit a rough patch.
The S&P 500 lost 6.52, or 0.3%, to 1932.24, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 18.27, or 0.4%, to 4734.48.
Bond prices rose, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note falling to 2.125% from 2.144% Wednesday.
U.S. stocks have generated wide swings in recent sessions since a late-August slide sent major indexes into “correction” territory, which is marked by a decline of 10% or more from a recent peak.


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Wednesday 23 September 2015

AUD/USD continued its fall and hit the round number


AUD/USD continued its fall and hit the round number. It actually dipped below the 70 cent number, but the break is far from being confirmed.



Will it be carried lower by global gloom or can it recover?
This is basically an extension of the fall seen yesterday, that was triggered by the weak Chinese data. The independent Caixin manufacturing PMI for September deteriorated to a new low: 47 points, the lowest since the crisis.
In Australia we didn’t have much to trigger this. Yesterday’s CB Leading Index came out at +0.3% and the next piece of meaningful news comes only next week. Nevertheless, weakness in commodity prices and commodity currencies is affecting the Aussie.
The fall so far only reached 0.6988. A confirmation is still awaited. The next level on the downside is the round 0.69. A lot depends on the global mood.

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Sunday 20 September 2015

RIP Shaikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum


Mourning declared following the death of HH Sheikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum



Three days of mourning have been declared following the death of HH Sheikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum.
Sheikh Rashid was the eldest son of HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai.
Al Dewan, Dubai Ruler’s Court, has declared three days mourning in Dubai, beginning today.
Shaikh Rashid was the eldest son of His Highness Shaikh Mohammad Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai. Shaikh Rashid was a keen horse lover and was the owner of Zabeel Stables.
President His Highness Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan mourned the death of Shaikh Rashid. Shaikh Khalifa expressed his heartfelt condolences and solace to Shaikh Mohammad.



Flags will fly half-mast at all government institutions in the emirate.
Sheikh Rashid was a well-known sports figure in the UAE. He participated in a number of International and local Endurance competitions winning a number of laurels for the country. His greatest achievement was winning 2 Gold medals in the 2006 Doha Asian Olympics 120 km Endurance individual mixed as well as 120 km Endurance Team Mixed events.
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Tuesday 8 September 2015

Gold inches higher, but struggles to shine






Technical - Levels


R2
R1
S1
S2
Gold
1148
1130
1109
1097
SILVER
14.96
14.75
14.44
14.23
CRUDE OIL
47.12
45.93
43.82
42.11
COPPER
2.436
2.410
2.372
2.308
NATURAL GAS
2.712
2.693
2.635
2.612
PLATINUM
1035
1002
977
967
PALLADIUM
1014
591
568
558





Overview :


Gold futures traded modestly higher Tuesday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserves’s policy meeting next week, which could determine the direction of the dollar and dollar-denominated commodities like gold.
Gold for December delivery was marginally higher, gaining $1, or about 0.1%, at $1,122.10 an ounce, after swinging between small gains and losses in early Tuesday action.
The precious metal has been down nine of that past 11 sessions and hasn’t drawn much of a bid in recent weeks on the expectation that the Fed may raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. Interest-bearing assets like Treasurys have diminished the appeal of gold, which doesn’t bear any interest, while anticipation of a near-term rate increase has dulled expectations for gold.

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Wednesday 2 September 2015

EURCHF is looking bullish on charts


SUMMARY:
The secondary trend of EURCHF is sideways on charts. In its 4 hourly chart, the pair is consolidating with strong positive bias and is likely to give break out at upside. Its 30 and 200 DMA are also supporting the upcoming bullish trend in the pair. It is facing an important resistance at the level of 1.0895. If it breaks its resistance level of 1.0900 at upside then we can expect it to show further upside movement.
INDICATORS:-
RSI is sustaining in buying territory supporting the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.
MACD is also sustaining in buying territory indicating the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY: EURCHF is looking bullish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for buy on dips strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
EUR/USD
1.1108
1.1156
1.1237
1.1285
1.1366
1.1414
1.1495
GBP/USD
1.5153
1.5225
1.5264
1.5336
1.5375
1.5447
1.5486
USD/JPY
116.64
117.95
118.66
119.97
120.68
121.99
122.70
USD/CHF
0.9431
0.9498
0.9540
0.9607
0.9649
0.9716
0.9758
AUD/USD
0.6819
0.6914
0.6967
0.7062
0.7115
0.7210
0.7263
EUR/GBP
0.7229
0.7264
0.7329
0.7364
0.7429
0.7464
0.7529
USD/CAD
1.3018
1.3067
1.3163
1.3212
1.3308
1.3357
1.3453
NZD/USD
0.6224
0.6269
0.6302
0.6347
0.6380
0.6425
0.6458