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Showing posts with label FOREX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FOREX. Show all posts

Friday 3 June 2016

Forex Trading is Halal or Haram In Islam?

I am traveling to Middle East and South –East Asia in the upcoming weeks where the population is largely Muslim and before my trip all my soon to be trainees  are asking “Forex is Halal or Haram?” It's my Personal opinion, I am sorry if anyone hurts with it.
I believe that " Selling currencies is usually done without the hand to hand exchange which makes them permissible according to sharee’ah."
Forex is Halal if you are not gambling and have your end goals clearly distinguished.
1- As a Forex trader you need to have a reason to take that action (sell or buy)
2- Not gamble on the trend direction but analyze the market
3- Not trade for the sake of excitement but trade for the potential income and to make a living
4- Not to approach it as a game but as a job
5- Have a mindset to win or to protect your equity rather than telling yourself “if I win I win, if not next time”
6- You learn from your losses and move on with the decision taken by yourself rather than blaming the market or blaming the situation.
It's a bit blurry so to say. 
But if you're honest to yourself, you know whether you're trading or gambling.
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Tuesday 2 February 2016

H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair , showing a nice falling wedge formation:

What is happening with the Loonie exchange rate? This is what we are going to tell you now! Below you will find the H4 chart of the USD/CAD Forex Pair, showing a nice falling wedge formation:



    

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As you see, in Friday the USD/CAD price broke the blue falling wedge formation in bullish direction. The breakout is visualized with the red circle on the image. Now the Loonie is probably facing a new bullish attitude.
Since we have a falling wedge chart pattern during a bearish trend, we expect an increase of the price equal to the size of the formation. This is shown with the black arrows on the image above.
The USD/CAD Forex exchange rate is currently situated around 1.4053 CAD for one USD. If the Price starts a movement after the falling wedge chart figure, we might see the price reaching  a weekly high around 1.4216.
Maybe it is time to start thinking long now?

Tuesday 5 January 2016

During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation

New York Session

During the overlap with the London session we expect an important inflation-related release from Germany and more PMI from the USA:
  1. German CPI (MoM) (Dec) | Germany
  2. Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States
  3. ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec) | United States
  4. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) | United States

‪#‎Crude_Oil‬ Tuesday :The week’s first oil-related macroeconomic release is:
‪#‎API‬ Weekly ‪#‎Crude_Oil_Stock‬
The American Petroleum Institute (API) reports inventory levels of US crude oil, gasoline and distillates stocks on a weekly basis. The figure shows how much oil and product is available in storage.The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock indicator gives an overview of US petroleum demand. Higher stock implies weaker demand or oversupply and it is bearish for crude prices, while lower stock implies higher demand and it is bullish for oil prices. While it is nearly impossible to predict the actual reading of the release, the event can be used for the timing component of a trading strategy for the instrument.
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Wednesday 16 December 2015

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Wednesday 28 October 2015

GBPUSD is looking bearish on charts


Pivot Points


S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
EUR/USD
1.0975
1.1002
1.1025
1.1052
1.1075
1.1102
1.1125
GBP/USD
1.5184
1.5232
1.5264
1.5312
1.5344
1.5392
1.5424
USD/JPY
119.06
119.60
120.03
120.57
121.00
121.54
121.97
USD/CHF
0.9739
0.9770
0.9815
0.9846
0.9891
0.9922
0.9967
AUD/USD
0.7071
0.7123
0.7158
0.7210
0.7245
0.7297
0.7332
EUR/GBP
0.7161
0.7175
0.7199
0.7213
0.7237
0.7251
0.7275
USD/CAD
1.3059
1.3104
1.3185
1.3230
1.3311
1.3356
1.3437
NZD/USD
0.6673
0.6713
0.6739
0.6779
0.6805
0.6845
0.6871




SUMMARY:
The secondary trend of GBPUSD is sideways on charts. In its 4 hourly chart, the pair is sustaining above its rising trend line and is likely to give break out at downside. It is not sustaining at higher levels and consolidating with strong negative bias to show downside movement in the market. Its 30 and 200 DMA are also supporting the upcoming bearish trend in the pair. It is having an important support at the level of 1.5280. If it breaks its support level and sustains below it then we can expect it to show further bearish movement in the pair.
 
INDICATORS:-
MACD is sustaining in selling territory supporting the upcoming bearish trend in the pair.
RSI is also sustaining near the selling territory indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY: GBPUSD is looking bearish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

Monday 5 October 2015

U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.



  • U.S. exports are on track to decline this year for the first time since the financial crisis.
  • Saudi’s Aramco offers further discounts to Asia & the US
  • USD: US Non-manufacturing PMI expected to slip – TDS
  • EURUSD upside potential capped – Rabobank
  • UK's Osborne says there a lot of risks in world economy





Oil Falls 1% as Demand Doubts Rise -
Oil prices fell around 1 percent on Friday, heading for a weekly decline, as weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data weighed on the energy demand outlook and Hurricane Joaquin veered away from oil installations in the U.S. East Coast.

Gold Rises After NFP Stumble and Palladium Surge : 
Gold held the biggest advance in almost nine months after figures showed that U.S. payrolls rose less than expected and wages stagnated, reducing the possibility of an interest rate increase this year.


Trade Setups in USD-pairs around September US NFPs -
Talking Points: ST EURUSD triangle begins to break lower; $1.1085 critical support. USDJPY remains rangebound, although NFPs could change that. See the DailyFX economic calendar for Thursday, October 1, 2015.

Monday 28 September 2015

Five Points which can drive markets early this week



The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew

1. Yen strength
2. GBP strength
3. Oil weakness
4. Bonds bid
5. China worries, China stimulus


The market hasn't made any big moves so far but a few are beginning to brew:
1. Yen strength
This is all about negative sentiment in stocks. USD/JPY is down 27 pips. The Nikkei finished the morning session down 1.14%, Shanghai stocks are down 0.54% and S&P 500 futures are down 0.4%. Earlier I wrote about why stock markets could fall early this week.

2. GBP strength
The pound is keeping pace with the yen, up about 20 pips. But let's put that into perspective; since the high on September 18, cable has been in a 6 day, nearly 500 pips swoon. A 20 pip bounce doesn't even qualify as a dead cat bounce. I highlighted some levels earlier.

3. Oil weakness
All else being equal, sell oil. Crude is down about 1%. Rig count numbers on Friday were bullish but a small bounce was wiped out quickly. Earlier last week, inventory numbers were bullish but a bounce was wiped out within hours and oil finished way down. At some point this year, oil storage capacity will max out and it will be dumped onto the market at any price.

4. Bonds bid
Bonds are catching a small bid, pushing 10-year US yields down 2 bps in early trading. There was talk of a China bid but it's also part of the risk aversion theme.

5. China worries, China stimulus
Two stories out of China early this week. The first is a plunge in industrial profits (negative) but the second is about fresh stimulus (potentially very positive). The second story hasn't gotten much traction yet but I think it could.


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Sunday 20 September 2015

RIP Shaikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum


Mourning declared following the death of HH Sheikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum



Three days of mourning have been declared following the death of HH Sheikh Rashid bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum.
Sheikh Rashid was the eldest son of HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai.
Al Dewan, Dubai Ruler’s Court, has declared three days mourning in Dubai, beginning today.
Shaikh Rashid was the eldest son of His Highness Shaikh Mohammad Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai. Shaikh Rashid was a keen horse lover and was the owner of Zabeel Stables.
President His Highness Shaikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan mourned the death of Shaikh Rashid. Shaikh Khalifa expressed his heartfelt condolences and solace to Shaikh Mohammad.



Flags will fly half-mast at all government institutions in the emirate.
Sheikh Rashid was a well-known sports figure in the UAE. He participated in a number of International and local Endurance competitions winning a number of laurels for the country. His greatest achievement was winning 2 Gold medals in the 2006 Doha Asian Olympics 120 km Endurance individual mixed as well as 120 km Endurance Team Mixed events.
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Thursday 3 September 2015

European stocks reversed earlier losses to close higher Wednesday

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European stocks reversed earlier losses to close higher Wednesday, with worries about an economic slowdown in China offset by a strong open on Wall Street. France's CAC 40 was up by 13.76 points to 4,554.92 and Germany's DAX 30 gain 32.48 points to 10,048.05. FTSE 100 also managed to close at 6,083.31 with net gain of 24.77. US stocks ended higher on Wednesday, rebounding from two days of losses. The Dow Jones 30 gain 293.03 points to 16,351.38, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 also gain 35.01 and 113.90 points to 1,948.86 and 4265.23 respectively. Asian markets traded on mix today. Japan’s Nikkei 225 which is only index traded on green note and up by 148.23 points to 18,243.63. Other Asian index like Hong Kong’s Hang Seng 50 Index is off today and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 closed at negative note.

Index
Value
Net Change
Dow30
16,351.38
+293.03
S&P500
1,948.86
+35.01
NASDAQ100
4256.23
+113.9
DAX 30
10,048.05
+32.48
FTSE100
6,083.31
+24.77
CAC 40
4,554.92
+13.76
Nikkei225
18,243.63
+148.23
S&P/ASX200
5,041.50
-59.96
Hang Seng50
20,934.94
0.00

SUMMARY:
Major trend of Dow Jones 30 is bearish on daily charts. It has given upside recovery in last week trading session. It is again showing good recovery from lower level. It is likely to give northward movement in upcoming session as it has give closing below 50 DMA and trading with resistance of 200 DMA on hourly chart. On lower side it has support level of 16100. If it manages to sustain above 50 DMA and gives break out above 200 DMA then it would bring a strong confidence to reach 16700. Currently it is having resistance of 16400.

INDICATOR:-
RSI is about to cross up the 50 mark on hourly chart time frame. On ADX is likely to move up with strong accumulation on chart. ADX trading above 35 mark. If it sustain above the same then index would come in positive territory with positive DI has crossed up negative DI . 







Wednesday 2 September 2015

EURCHF is looking bullish on charts


SUMMARY:
The secondary trend of EURCHF is sideways on charts. In its 4 hourly chart, the pair is consolidating with strong positive bias and is likely to give break out at upside. Its 30 and 200 DMA are also supporting the upcoming bullish trend in the pair. It is facing an important resistance at the level of 1.0895. If it breaks its resistance level of 1.0900 at upside then we can expect it to show further upside movement.
INDICATORS:-
RSI is sustaining in buying territory supporting the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.
MACD is also sustaining in buying territory indicating the upcoming bullish trend in the pair.

STRATEGY: EURCHF is looking bullish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for buy on dips strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions.

S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
EUR/USD
1.1108
1.1156
1.1237
1.1285
1.1366
1.1414
1.1495
GBP/USD
1.5153
1.5225
1.5264
1.5336
1.5375
1.5447
1.5486
USD/JPY
116.64
117.95
118.66
119.97
120.68
121.99
122.70
USD/CHF
0.9431
0.9498
0.9540
0.9607
0.9649
0.9716
0.9758
AUD/USD
0.6819
0.6914
0.6967
0.7062
0.7115
0.7210
0.7263
EUR/GBP
0.7229
0.7264
0.7329
0.7364
0.7429
0.7464
0.7529
USD/CAD
1.3018
1.3067
1.3163
1.3212
1.3308
1.3357
1.3453
NZD/USD
0.6224
0.6269
0.6302
0.6347
0.6380
0.6425
0.6458